DETERMINANTS OF THE VOLATILITY OF THE RUPIAH EXCHANGE RATE AGAINST THE DOLLARSAMERICA IN THE MIDDLE OF THE COVID-19

Pudji Astuty(1*)

(1) Borobudur University
(*) Corresponding Author

Abstract


Liberalization, regionalization, and globalization have made the inflow of goods, services, and capital easier to break through the regional boundaries of a country, and the barriers have continued to decrease for global trade or business. cross border. The consequences of liberalization, regionalization, and globalization demand the existence of a country's economic transparency which can cause concerns for every country, including Indonesia, especially regarding the stability of its currency exchange rate. During the Covid-19 Pandemic, at the end of March 2020, the Rupiah exchange rate against the US Dollar weakened by 18% compared to its position in December 2019 (before the Covid-19 Pandemic). The exchange rate of the Rupiah against the US Dollar is continuously fluctuating and tends to weaken. The volatility of the Rupiah exchange rate against the US Dollar and its large volatility over a long period can disrupt the economy as a whole. The purpose of this research is to analyze the factors that influence the volatility of the Rupiah exchange rate to the US Dollar. This research uses inferior information on duration (time series) from 2009 to 2020 (information per year). The results of the research can be concluded that the JCI, Trade Balance, Foreign Loans, Inflation, and Interest Rates have an important influence on the volatility of the Rupiah exchange rate to the US Dollar either simultaneously or partially

Keywords


Covid-19, Foreign Debt, Inflation, Interest Rates, JCI, Rupiah Exchange Rate, Trade Balance

Full Text:

PDF

References


Arifin, S., & Mayasya, S. (2018). Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Nilai Tukar Rupiah Terhadap Dolar Amerika Serikat. Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu, 8(1).

Arthamevia, S. A., Ayu, M., Ula, U., Rizqi, S., Nissa, F., & Cahyo, H. (2021). PENGARUH COVID-19 TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2019-2020. Seminar Nasional Official Statistics, 2020(1). https://doi.org/10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2020i1.427

Bagh, T., Azad, T., Razzaq, S., Liaqat, I., & Khan, M. A. (2017). The impact of exchange rate volatility on stock index: Evidence from Pakistan stock exchange (PSX. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 7(3), 7086.

Barguellil, A., Ben-Salha, O., & Zmami, M. (2018). Exchange rate volatility and economic growth. Journal of Economic Integration, 33(2). https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2018.33.2.1302

Bungin, B. (2013). Metode penelitian sosial & ekonomi: format-format kuantitatif dan kualitatif untuk studi sosiologi, kebijakan, publik, komunikasi, manajemen, dan pemasara edisi pertama. kencana prenada media group.

Bustaman, A., & Jayanthakumaran, K. (2007). The impact of exchange rate volatility on Indonesias exports to the USA: An application of ARDL bounds testing procedure.

Chasanah, A. N., & ... (2021). Perbedaan Tingkat Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Rupiah Dan Suku Bunga Sebelum Dan Selama Pandemi Covid 19. BISECER (Business , 4(2).

CNN Indonesia. (2020, June 30). Update Corona 30 Juni: 56.385 Positif, 24.806 Sembuh. CNN Indonesia_Nasional_Peristiwa. https://www.cnnindonesia.com/nasional/20200630145015-20-519068/update-corona-30-juni-56385-positif-24806-sembuh

Dastgerdi, H. G. (2020). Inflation Theories and Inflation Persistence in Iran. Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business. https://doi.org/10.2478/zireb-2020-0011

Gujarati, D. (2013). Dasar-Dasar Ekonometrika. Dasar-Dasar Ekonometrika.

Handoyo, R. D., Sari, A. D. P., Ibrahim, K. H., & Sarmidi, T. (2022). The Volatility of Rupiah Exchange Rate Impact on Main Commodity Exports to the OIC Member States. Economies, 10(4). https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10040078

Haryogo, A. (2013). Pengaruh Nilai Tukar dan Indeks Dow Jones Terhadap Composite Index di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Finesta, 1(1), 16.

Hasibuan, M. S. (2012). Manajemen SDM. Edisi Revisi, Cetakan Ke Tigabelas.

Kasman, S., Vardar, G., & Tun, G. (2011). The impact of interest rate and exchange rate volatility on banks stock returns and volatility: Evidence from Turkey. Economic Modelling, 28(3), 13281334.

Keefe, H. G. (2020). The impact of exchange rate volatility on inflation targeting monetary policy in emerging and advanced economies. International Finance, 23(3), 417433.

Kumar, A., Bhutto, N. A., Mangrio, K. A., & Kalhoro, M. R. (2019). Impact of external debt and exchange rate volatility on domestic consumption. New evidence from Pakistan. Cogent Economics & Finance.

Labonte, M. (2011). Inflation : Causes , Costs , and Current Status. Macroeconomics Policy.

Mechri, N., Hamad, S. B., Peretti, C., & Charfi, S. (2019). The Impact of the Exchange Rate Volatilities on Stock Market Returns Dynamic.

Mlambo, C., Maredza, A., & Sibanda, K. (2013). Effects of exchange rate volatility on the stock market: A case study of South Africa. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 4(14), 561.

Muktiyanto, I., & Aulia, M. (2019). Determinan Tingkat Imbal Hasil (Yield) Surat Berharga Negara (SBN) Domestik. Kajian Ekonomi Dan Keuangan, 3(1). https://doi.org/10.31685/kek.v3i1.190

Nasution, D. A. D., Erlina, E., & Muda, I. (2020). Dampak Pandemi COVID-19 terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia. Jurnal Benefita, 5(2). https://doi.org/10.22216/jbe.v5i2.5313

News, D. (2021, July 7). Rekor Terus! Kasus Corona RI 7 Juli Tambah 34.379, Kematian 1.040. DetikNews Berita. https://news.detik.com/berita/d-5634632/rekor-terus-kasus-corona-ri-7-juli-tambah-34379-kematian-1040

Odera, Q. A. (2015). An analysis on the effect of external public debt on exchange rate volatility in Kenya.

Okechukwu, I. A., Mbadike, N. S., Geoffrey, U., & Ozurumba, B. A. (2019). Effects of Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, and Inflation on Stock Market Returns Volatility in Nigeria. International Journal of Management Science and Business Administration, 5(6), 3847.

Ozcelebi, O. (2018). Impacts of Exchange Rate Volatility on Macroeconomic and Financial Variables: Empirical Evidence from PVAR Modeling. In Trade and Global Market. IntechOpen.

Pali?, I., Bani?, F., & Mati?, L. (2018). The analysis of the impact of depreciation on external debt in long run: Evidence From Croatia. Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems: INDECS, 16(1), 186193.

Pellu, A. (2019). Utang Luar Negeri: Paradoks Pembangunan Ekonomi Indonesia. Amal: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, 1(1).

Pikahulan, R. M. (2020). Implementasi Fungsi Pengaturan serta Pengawasan pada Bank Indonesia dan Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) terhadap Perbankan. Jurnal Penegakan Hukum Dan Keadilan, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.18196/jphk.1103

Prameswari, M., Indrawati, L. ., & Laut, L. . (2019). Analisis Pengaruh Utang Luar Negeri, Nilai Tukar, dan Inflasi Terhadap Cadangan Devisa di Indonesia Tahun 2008- 2017. Journal of Economic: DINAMIC, 1(4).

Purwono, R., Mucha, K., & Mubin, M. K. (2018). The dynamics of Indonesias current account deficit: Analysis of the impact of exchange rate volatility. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 5(2). https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2018.vol5.no2.25

Saheed, Z. S., Sani, I. E., & Idakwoji, B. O. (2015). Impact of public external debt on exchange rate in Nigeria. International Finance and Banking, 2(1), 1526.

Sukirno, S. (2012). Makroekonomi Teori Pengantar Edisi Ketiga. Rajawali Pers.

Suryokumoro, H., Sukarmi, S., & Ula, H. (2020). Model Pengawasan Penggunaan Pinjaman Luar Negeri : Studi World Bank dan IMF di Indonesia. Kertha Patrika, 42(2). https://doi.org/10.24843/kp.2020.v42.i02.p07

Thirafi, L. (2020). DUA DEKADE TERAKHIR NERACA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pendidikan, 17(2). https://doi.org/10.21831/jep.v17i2.34616

Wahyuningsih, D., & Ningsih, U. P. (2019). The Effect of Foreign Debt on The Exchange Rate and Its Impact on Monetary Policy in Indonesia. Media Trend, 14(1), 128135.

Wulansari, E. M. (2017). Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Kurs Rupiah terhadap Dolar Amerika Serikat di Indonesia.

Yazid, M. (2018). Inflasi, KURS, Dan Suku Bunga Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi. Jurnal EKOMBIS, 1(1).

Yi-Wei, L. (2020). Impact of Covid-19 on Interest Rates. Journal of Asian Multicultural Research for Economy and Management Study, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.47616/jamrems.v1i1.7

Yolanda, Y. (2017). Analysis of factors affecting inflation and its impact on human development index and poverty in Indonesia. European Research Studies Journal. https://doi.org/10.35808/ersj/873

Zahroh, S., Pontoh, R., Hidayat, Y., Jiwani, N. M., Supartini, E., & Sukono. (2020). Indonesian rupiah exchange rate in facing COVID-19 (A time series-machine learning approach). Journal of Advanced Research in Dynamical and Control Systems. https://doi.org/10.5373/JARDCS/V12I6/S20201103

ZULFITRA, Z., & TUMANGGOR, M. (2020). Reaksi Pasar Modal Index LQ45, Index Consumer Goods, Index Manufacture dan Index Finance pada Peristiwa Pandemi Covid-19 April 2020 di Indonesia. JURNAL SeMaRaK, 3(3). https://doi.org/10.32493/smk.v3i3.7096




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.30998/jabe.v9i1.14438

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


slot online

slot gacor

toto4d

seribu168

demo slot

slot777

msislot

borneo303

scatter hitam

pan4d

slot777

slot777

https://iahmed.buet.ac.bd/

slot gacor gampang maxwin

situs gacor

https://tgtwreis.telangana.gov.in/

https://aditya.ac.in/

sakautoto

slot777

dayak777

situs gacor

situs gacor

situs toto

link gacor

mainaja

lohanslot alternatif

raja132

toto99

gacor02

sultan88

situs slot

toto slot

slot gacor

situs slot gacor

pin4d

slot gacor

slot gacor hari ini

Slot gacor

toto slot

hoki138

https://etsam.da.upm.es/

https://caminos.da.upm.es/

Jalutoto

https://revista.sbfoton.org.br/contato/

https://inef.da.upm.es/

situs slot online

toto togel

bandar togel

hoki138

link slot gacor

https://edificacion.da.upm.es/

https://aai.univ-boumerdes.dz/

rtp mantis88

https://galibellecanada.com/collections/sale

slot gacor

slot thailand

https://navales.da.upm.es/

slot gacor

slot online

hot51

kangtoto2

https://world.bitharvest.io/

https://ezzing.com/wp-content/

situs toto

toto slot

Slot777

slot777

slot777

https://csdmm.da.upm.es/

agen judi bola

slot gacor maxwin

link slot gacor

toto slot

slot gacor

rokokbet

slot gacor

situs gacor

data macau

slot gacor

https://revista.sbfoton.org.br/contato/

https://incoming.ftn.uns.ac.rs/

https://verdadabierta.com/periodo4/

slot gacor

slot dana

ak4d

https://juicyfest.co/line-up/

https://ezzing.com/contacto/

togel online

situs togel

toto togel

jagowin404

borneo303

koin404

harta88

Situs slot gacor

Slot gacor

https://mcfinans.com/

mantis88

slot pulsa

link cipit88

Sotong88

https://yayasandulursalembur.com/rekening-donasi/

SLOT THAILAND

https://bankjombang.co.id/wlshowcase/info-lelang/

https://bankjombang.co.id/wlshowcase/info-lelang/

slot gacor

ajo89

liga88

pin4d

https://rockcomciencia.crp.ufv.br/

slot gacor gampang menang

UUSTOTO

slot gacor

hoki138

https://mecanica.uncp.edu.pe/

https://ppg.uinsalatiga.ac.id/

https://www.thebar-kays.com/contatti/

HOKI138

pin4d

https://admission.wnpism.uw.edu.pl/

rajapoker

https://haciendaalemana.com/es/restaurant

cipit 88

cipit 88

SGP777

slot gacor

slot

CIREBONTOTO

CIREBONTOTO

CIREBONTOTO

slot gacor hari ini

SLOT777

slot777

CIREBONTOTO

CIREBONTOTO

slot gacor

slot

https://blog.colechef.com/about-us/

slot gacor

https://nadudvari.hu/impresszum/

situs slot gacor

uustoto

uustoto

ocatoto

pakjp

situs slot gacor

https://condostorecanada.com/testimonials/

Slot gacor

situs gacor

slot gacor

สล็อต

https://marketplace.appbytap.com/

slot gacor

slot gacor

https://mariatogel167.com

sinaga123 slot

slot

https://parokirohkuduslabuanbajo.org/

mahjong

gaya4d

link gacor

slot thailand

slot gacor

ajo89

ajo89

pohonemas33

pohonemas

situs slot gacor

slot gacor

slot gacor

situs slot

slot

situs slot gacor

slot 10k

สล็อต

slot

slot

slot gacor

slot gacor

mamen4d

Surgavip88

Slot Gacor Gampang Jackpot

https://innosphereventures.org/about/

slot gacor hari ini

slot gacor

https://laughingladiesrestaurant.com/about/

pin4d

pin4d

slot gacor

sotong

pin4d

situs slot gacor

slot gacor

https://buttonsrestaurants.com/menu/

Slot Online

Slot Gacor

Slot Gacor

https://atmoszero.energy/team/

slot depo 5k

eslot

sakti55

jogjatoto

slot thailand

slot gacor

slot online

slot

Ceri123

slot gacor

oddigo

https://wilderness-explorers.com/guyana/

situs slot gacor

agenolx slot

januaritoto

slot depo 5k

slot88

pin4d

pin4d

link slot gacor terbaru

https://www.hiswatewater.nl/contact/

iramatogel

slot gacor

toto slot

slot777

slot gacor

slot gacor

Gsc108

slot

slot

slot gacor

slot gacor

https://reframecollection.org/

https://marketplace.appbytap.com/

slot depo 5k

login jepangbet

slot gacor

slot

slot88

https://www.f4b-initiative.net/greenstimulus

agendunia55

Surgavip88 link alternatif

slot gacor

situs slot gacor

kangtoto

agen slot88

Slot

paito hk

slot

slot gacor

slot online

Main-Mahjong-Ways-3-di-Rafi69-Pak-Anto-Sukses-Bebas-Utang

slot gacor

slot online

idn poker terbaru

bro138

luna805

pin4d

link slot88

slot gacor

rajavigor

Situs Slot88 Gacor

Situs Deposit 5K

Situs IDNSlot

Slot Deposit 5 Ribu

Slot Deposit Qris 5000

Situs Deposit 5000 Dana

Slot Deposit Qris 5000

Slot Deposit Pulsa 5000

slot 777

slot 88

Fixbet88 slot online

slot gacor hari ini

slot777

ide777

daftar slot

slot dana

deneme bonusu

Slot

Slot

slot gacor

slot depo 10k

slot gacor

RAJAVIGOR

piket88 slot

judi bola resmi

situs judi bola terbesar

slot gacor

neng4d

slot

sarang777 slot

SLOT HOKI

bandar macau

borneo303

slot gacor

Gsc108

ikon777

https://ilisready.org/

usd777

Slot Gacor

Slot

Slot Gacor

slot gacor hari ini

slot gacor

basket168

Sbobet

paham777

https://apel.inoe.ro/

katakwin

slot gacor

slot gacor

kenzototo

amanahtoto

situs toto

slot gacor

bonus new member